$125 Billion Boost: How a Federal Tax Incentive Could Transform Film Production!

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By : Claude Merritt

The Potential Economic Boom from a Federal Film Tax Incentive

In an era where the glitz and glamour of Hollywood are celebrated worldwide, the underlying economic machinery could be getting a significant boost if a proposed federal film tax incentive comes to fruition. A recent study by Olsberg-SPI, commissioned by the Motion Picture Association (MPA), suggests that implementing such an incentive could lead to an increase in U.S. production spending by an estimated $125.3 billion between 2027 and 2035. This initiative could not only elevate America’s global stake in film and TV production but could also create approximately 143,500 new jobs.

What’s at Stake Without Federal Incentives?

While the benefits of the proposed incentive are considerable, the study also highlights the potential decline if the status quo remains. Currently, individual states offer varying levels of incentives, but without a cohesive federal strategy, production could stagnate or even decline. The report warns that without federal intervention, the U.S. could see its share of global film and TV production drop significantly, with projections falling to 25 percent for films and 29 percent for TV by 2035.

Map showing many U.S. states offering film production incentives
Many states now offer their own film incentives; a federal program would unify them.

The Current State of Production and the Push for Change

As of 2025, the U.S. holds about 34 percent of all film projects and 42 percent of all TV projects worldwide. The proposed federal incentive aims to boost these numbers dramatically, potentially achieving a 65 percent share in both categories by 2030. This ambitious goal is backed by notable industry figures and political entities. Jon Voight, acting as President Trump’s “Hollywood Ambassador,” along with industry leaders and bipartisan lawmakers, are advocating for this change, emphasizing the need to maintain competitiveness on a global scale.

Charles Rivkin, Chairman and CEO of the Motion Picture Association, underscores the significance of this initiative. He points out that a federal incentive could change the game for the U.S. film industry by revitalizing production across the nation and supporting a wide array of jobs beyond just actors and directors—such as set builders, caterers, and truck drivers.

The Mechanics of the Proposed Incentive

The specifics of the incentive are still under discussion, but the study bases its projections on a possible transferable tax credit of at least 20 percent. Additional benefits could include a 5 percent bonus for independent films and projects that incur labor costs in areas designated as disaster zones by FEMA. Furthermore, the U.S. could offer stackable incentives, aligning with practices in other countries where local or regional incentives complement national ones.

Film crew moving equipment on set illustrating production mechanics
Production crews and equipment show the jobs supported by film tax credits.

Currently, 39 states offer some form of filming incentive, reflecting a patchwork of benefits that could be streamlined under a federal program. This change is seen as necessary to keep up with the 121 different national, state, and provincial incentives globally—a significant increase from 86 in 2017. This competitive landscape makes a compelling case for a unified, robust U.S. policy to attract more film and TV productions.

A Call to Action from Industry Leaders

The call for a federal film tax incentive is a rallying cry from various sectors within the entertainment industry. Voight’s passionate statement about the need to level the playing field represents a broader concern about keeping film productions within U.S. borders, rather than losing them to countries like Canada that offer more aggressive tax incentives.

This initiative represents more than just economic numbers; it’s about nurturing American creativity and ensuring that the U.S. remains a central hub for film and television production on the global stage. With such broad support and clear benefits outlined by the MPA’s study, the momentum for a federal film tax incentive continues to build, promising a richer, more vibrant future for American film and television production.

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