Despite Celebrations, Numerous Pitfalls Remain: A Closer Look

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By : Lowell Hagan

Updated: October 9, 2025, 11:57 AM

In an exclusive interview with tagesschau24, Bente Scheller, Middle East expert from the Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, shares insights into the ongoing peace talks in Egypt. Scheller describes the progress as a significant breakthrough, albeit only the second step in a long, twenty-point agenda.

Initial Successes and Ongoing Challenges

The tentative agreement has brought immense relief to the families of Israeli hostages, who can expect to reunite with their loved ones as early as next Monday. Similarly, residents of the Gaza Strip anticipate a withdrawal of Israeli forces. “We’re hopeful that the remaining points will soon follow,” Scheller added.

The Impact of U.S. Influence

According to Scheller, the dynamic shift in the negotiations can be attributed to U.S. President Donald Trump’s considerable pressure. “It was clear from the start that Trump wanted to showcase a success,” Scheller explains. This pressure made it evident to both parties involved that they needed to commit to an agreement. Trump’s negotiation tactics, characterized by drafting concise documents followed by assertive demands, were evident throughout the process. Scheller points out that Trump even set an ultimatum for Hamas, marking the agreement with his distinct negotiation style.

Complex Issues at Hand

The disarmament of Hamas remains a contentious issue. Scheller believes that Hamas might attempt to delay this process, seeking terms that allow them to save face while possibly agreeing to a future deal. “The language used in the negotiations will likely be nuanced to allow for some leeway,” she suggests.

The Palestinian Perspective

While Israel and Hamas have made significant compromises, Scheller notes that the Palestinian population finds little representation in the current plan. “It’s positive for Gaza if Hamas is disarmed, but the broader implications for Palestinian statehood are grim,” she remarked. The plan mentions necessary reforms in the West Bank but fails to address the prospects of unified Palestinian governance or statehood, which Scheller describes as “bitterly disappointing.”

Political Ramifications in Israel

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu sees the return of the hostages as a crucial domestic achievement that could strengthen his political position. However, Scheller indicates that within Netanyahu’s cabinet, figures like Smotrich and Ben-Gvir, who are aligned with right-wing factions, remain skeptical of the peace agreement. They advocate for a continued military approach to definitively defeat Hamas.

Potential for Sustainable Peace

When asked about the likelihood of lasting peace, Scheller expressed skepticism about the current plan’s ability to achieve enduring peace in the Middle East. “True peace will only be attained when all parties feel secure and all rights are respected,” she asserts. For a hopeful future, it is crucial that Palestinian rights are not overlooked, thereby empowering progressive, democratic forces within Palestinian society.

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